Is August really a Ghost Month?

If you’re an investor, you’ve probably heard of Aughost – which some people refer to as August being a ghost month. If you haven’t, don’t worry, I feel for you. 🙂

I did a brief research on this and here’s what I found from my source. Ghost month is the seventh lunar month in the traditional Chinese calendar. This is significant to some people because of the belief that this is a bad time to do activities such as traveling, moving house, and starting a new business or investing.

I’m no good in story-telling so if you’re interested to know more about this ghost month thing, please go ahead and click this link. 🙂

Going back, I first heard of it when I attended COL Financial’s briefing on COL Positioning for 2015 at the Meralco Theatre two days ago. One of the attendees asked,

COL ghost month question

I don’t know if I got it all correctly but I’ll share with you some points that I’ve written on my notes based on the the panelists’ answers to this question and their suggestions for investors. Some of these are based on my personal opinion.

  • Lower volume of trades is expected this month because some investors may sell their stocks to stay liquid in their assets.
  • It can be a good opportunity for investors who do cost averaging because the share prices may be lower at this time.
  • Study the stock market and do your own research on the fundamental and technical analysis of the companies that you want to buy shares with. If you think you don’t have the skills to do so, take advantage of COL Financial latest research which can be found at the COL’s account homepage.
  • Reevaluate your portfolio, diversify, and as much as possible, go for long term investment in the stock market. It is way safer than active trading, unless you have the necessary skills.
  • On whether they should sell their shares or not, one of the answers I got was to hold on to the stock for now. Don’t sell especially if it’s at a loss. Wait until the valuations recover and bounce back.

These temporary changes in the stock market are not affected solely by this so-called ghost month. It may have created a stir in the market but we have to bear in mind that there are so many factors that affect the market performance and the valuation of shares and that include the fundamentals of the companies and the current status of the country in terms of inflation rate and all other factors.

Again, I don’t claim to be an expert. But if you’d ask me whether it’s a good time to invest or not, here are my personal opinions on this.

  1. If you are a long term investor, continue to add shares because you might get them at a much lower price this month. And this might give you good returns overtime.
  2. If you are a short-term investor or an active trader, pay close attention to the fundamentals of the companies that you want to buy or have shares with. Or better yet, take a break from the stock market for now, anyway, it’s vacation season for many global fund managers.
  3. If you feel that it’s really a good time to invest in the stock market, then do it at your own risk. At the end of the day, it’s still you who will decide for your own funds.

To all of us, good luck and happy investing! Enjoy the ‘ghost month’ with patience and positivity.

Disclaimer: I’m not a banker, fund manager, stock market expert, or investment guru. I’m just a typical newbie in the stock market, who’s trying to share what I know about investing to the readers of this blog. I don’t represent or endorse the companies or entities mentioned in this post. If you find this article substantial in your investing venture, then take it at your own risk and be responsible for your decisions. I am not liable for whatever results this may bring about in your investments.

Janice

Certified WAHM l Licensed Financial Advisor & Professional Teacher l Financial Literacy Advocate l Founder of www.pinayinvestor.com

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6 Responses

  1. shanelle says:

    Wow! This is interesting! There’s such thing as Aughost pala. Mag’iinvest pa nman sana ako ngaun, pero next month nalang. Haha 😀

  2. martin says:

    parang ok nga mag invest ngayon sa stocks kasi kung down ang market mas mura mabibili. pag um-okay na ulit ang market like cgro sa pasko kasi mdami pera mga tao, baka tumaas n uli ang price ng stocks. pwde na benta, profit na un.. ganun ang stock market sa pgkakaintindi ko.

  3. Janice says:

    Hi Shan, me too ngaun ko lng din nlaman na may aughost pala. 🙂
    i guess, anytime naman pwede mag-invest bsta ready kna.. i mean kung my idea kna kung anong investment ang papasukin mo at kung financially prepared kna din.. bsta i suggest, invest ka muna on learning the different investment options para mkapamili ka kung san ka mas comfortable. and it would also depend on your risk appetite. i’ll try my best to share other investment options available out there esp ung mga na-try ko na..

  4. Janice says:

    hi martin, thanks for sharing your thoughts about stock market..

  5. Surprisingly, this year’s Au-Ghost month does not follow the trend before during the past ghost months. The PSE reached the 7k level once again due to improving corporate earnings.

    Kudos for a fellow personal finance blogger like you Janice! May we spread more financial literacy lessons among our readers 🙂

    • Janice says:

      You’re right! I was surprised too when PSE hit 7k!
      Thank you Millionaire Acts for visiting my site:)
      I created this blog to share my investing experiences and to somehow help in spreading financial literacy among our readers especially our loved ones and kababayans 🙂

      I used to share my experiences with my sister alone and when some of my friends asked me about the same thing, I thought it would be a great idea to just create a blog so I wouldn’t have to tell the same story over and over again. And it seemed to work. Whenever someone asks about investing, I just advice them to visit my website and read my blogs. 🙂

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